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The House Elections Predictor

Though most people are thinking about who will win the presidency in 2008, the U.S. House elections may also be dramatic. Curious how the next House elections will turn out? Political scientists have found that much of the aggregate swing in House elections results can be predicted based on the president's approval rating and economic growth rates (learn why). Fill out the fields below as you think they'll look as the election nears and hit "submit." For your convenience, the most recent data are already inserted into the form. (Disclaimers).

Variables
What is the president's current approval rating?
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How much has real income per capita changed over the past 12 months?
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Projections take account of exposure—that is, whether one of the parties holds more or fewer seats than usual. Though these numbers will not change before the election, you can fiddle with them if you want to see what they do. (tell me more)
House seats currently held by the president's party (Republicans)
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Number of seats held by Republicans (on average) over the previous eight House elections
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Results will display here

Projections are based on an historical analysis in Gary Jacobson's The Politics of Congressional Elections, 6th ed (2004). Want to know more?.